The 2024 presidential election marked the first time New York has turned red in nearly four decades – with Donald Trump becoming the first Republican in 20 years to keep the spread below 20 points.
According to the state elections board, Vice President Kamala Harris is leading Trump by only 11.4% of the votes, with only 6% of ballots remaining to be counted.
The gap between Democrats and Republicans has not been this narrow since Michael Dukakis defeated George HW Bush by a narrow margin of 4.1% in 1988 – before ultimately losing the election to the Republican contender.
Since then, Democrats have maintained strong leads that are still not back into single digits, including:
- 1992: Bill Clinton beats Bush by 15.85%
- 1996: Clinton defeated Bob Dole by 28.8%
- 2000: Gore defeated George W. defeated Bush by 25%
- 2004: John Kerry defeats George W. defeated Bush by 18%
- 2008: Barack Obama defeated John McCain by 36.85%
- 2012: Obama defeats Mitt Romney by 28.18%
- 2016: Hillary Clinton defeats Donald Trump by 22.37%
- 2020: Joe Biden beats Trump by 23.13%
New York City saw a resurgence of Republican support in droves – with Harris facing the weakest turnout for a Democratic candidate in the Big Apple since 1988.
With more than 97% of scanners reporting late Tuesday night, Trump claimed 30.44% of the New York City vote. City Election Board.
piece off Trump’s highest score ever Among his three presidential bids, Joe has grown steadily stronger over the years – with growing support in the Bronx, Manhattan and Queens.
Much of Trump’s growing support can be traced to the Bronx, where ballots cast in his name increased 35% between 2020 and 2024. This year, 91,542 residents voted for Republicans, compared to only 67,740 when it was against President Biden.
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Manhattanites also made a big shift toward Trump between the last two elections: He garnered 103,060 votes this year, a 20% increase from 2020.
Most of the support came from Trump’s hometown of Queens, where 247,891 residents pledged their votes for the former president. Overall there is an increase of 16.5% Compared to the number of votes he won in 2020.
Support for Trump also increased in Brooklyn and Staten Island, but by much smaller margins, where voting in his name increased by about 8% and only 0.7%, respectively.
Trump’s improved voter margin symbolizes a growing support base that the Queens native has built since starting his political career in 2016, when he won just 18% of New York City’s vote. That reached 23% in 2020.
About 2,58,600 New Yorkers are expected to vote in 2024, compared to 3,066,581 in 2020, and 2,759,389 in 2016.
Trump’s growing support base marks New York City as a shrinking Democratic stronghold in the heart of the deep blue state.
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Harris won only 67.7% of the Big Apple’s votes in Tuesday’s race, according to preliminary results from the city Board of Elections.
This marks a sharp decline compared to his predecessors.
Biden claimed 75.7% of the vote during his victorious 2020 presidential campaign, marking a decrease from Hillary Clinton’s unsuccessful 2016 bid, in which she still managed to garner 78% of the vote.
Despite the narrow margin, Harris managed to cruise to victory and was projected to take home all 28 electoral votes from the Empire State.
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