Vice President Kamala Harris He has lost his strength and edge Former President Donald Trump Three major polls are down with less than a month until Election Day — another blow to Democrats Already started getting nervous about November,
Harris has lost six percentage points on Trump in a single month nbc news pollThat gave the former president his narrowest lead among registered voters, 47% to 46% — which also included third-party contenders.
In the same survey last month, Harris got 47% votes and Trump got 41% votes.
A separate survey from ABC News/Ipsos Voters nationally are also shown to be moving in Trump’s direction, with Harris still leading among likely voters by 50% to 48%.
But it’s a significant boost from the 6-point lead Harris had voting last month among likely voters (52% to 46%).
Finally, the CBS News/YouGov poll found that Harris leads Trump by 51% to 48% nationally and by an average of 50% to 49% among likely voters in battleground states.
That survey gave Trump only a one percentage point advantage in the national matchup, where he was in the September survey, in which Harris had a lead of 52% to 48%. The average battlefield situation is the same.
With latest batch of polling, Harris’s lead RealClearPolitics Recent multi-candidate national polling totals have also declined and now stand at 1.4 percentage points, up from 2.2 points on Saturday.
Trump is also ahead RCP no-tossup map of swing state championships.
Overall, this is bad news for Harris. Most experts think he needs a national polling advantage of five to six points to win – a nod to past polls showing that Trump supporters do not respond to surveys and Republicans have a built-in advantage in the Electoral College.
Even before these polls, frustrated Democrats were sharing internal polling that showed Harris losing in swing states like Wisconsin and Michigan — states that will help determine the outcome of the November election.
And many GOP insiders are fully prepared to declare victory.
“There are a lot of Republicans — I say a lot — not a small number of Republicans who say the race is effectively over,” Longtime political journalist Mark Halperin Said on 2WAY’s “Morning Meeting” program last week.
He later said, “A lot of Democrats are really concerned and there are no really concerned Republicans, including at Mar-a-Lago.”
The apparent shift in polling appears to be due to a decline in Harris’ favorability — from 43% positive to 49% negative for the vice president, falling particularly among young and independent voters, according to an NBC News poll.
On the issues, the NBC poll reflected numerous prior polls that showed Trump ahead on the economy (46% to 38%), inflation (44% to 37%), immigration (46% to 36%) and handling of the conflict. Went. in the Middle East (42% to 34%).
Harris gained leads on abortion (47% to 32%), pursuit of the middle class (42% to 32%) and protecting democracy (44% to 38%).
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