New Wall Street Journal voting A sweep of seven battleground states shows the race is very close almost everywhere — but with advantages for Republican Donald Trump on key election issues.
Overall, the former president leads Kamala Harris by 46% to 45%. And in all but one state, this race is a material leap in the estimates of Democratic and Republican firms, pollsters GBAO and Fabrizio Lee, respectively.
While the Vice President leads on multi-candidate ballots in Arizona and Michigan (both 47% to 45%), as well as Georgia and Wisconsin (both 46% to 45%), Trump has a slight lead in Nevada (47%) . Turnout between September 28 and October 8 was 42% of the 600 registered voters in each state, except North Carolina and Pennsylvania (46% to 45% in both).
Harris has seen leads in President Biden’s numbers in Arizona, Georgia and North Carolina.
But voters strongly prefer Trump on a number of questions about what the candidates bring to the table, including experience, where even states that don’t lean toward him overall see him as the more experienced choice.
On “who is best able to handle illegal immigration” – which voters say is their second-biggest concern – respondents gave the former president a 16-point lead (52% to 36%).
In Nevada, Trump leads by a staggering 25 points on this question, but he leads in every state here.
Trump is +10 on the economy, with 50% of swing-state voters seeing him as a better bet than Harris on their No. 1 election issue.
This trend continues everywhere, with his biggest leads being +12 in Georgia and +11 in Pennsylvania.
When it comes to who is trusted to reduce inflation, she leads Harris by 11 points (50% to 39%), and nowhere on the map is this more influential than in Nevada, where 53% of voters say so. That he is a better bet for reducing inflation. high cost of living; Harris has 35% anemia.
Trump also leads by double digits (50% to 39%) in terms of the person most trusted to find a solution to Russia’s war on Ukraine, and this consensus holds in all seven states, with Trump +15 in Arizona. The former president has vowed to resolve the war before he is sworn back into office.
His lead on resolving Israel’s war with Hamas is even greater, 48% to 33%. That advantage holds everywhere, but in no state is Harris less trusted on this issue than in North Carolina, where 29% of voters think she can resolve an issue that the Biden administration has turned into a regional war. Has given.
By 48% to 42%, swing-state voters have more confidence in what Trump brings to the job than Harris. Ironically, given the slight tilt toward the veep in both of these states, Trump is up 11 points on this metric in Georgia and 8 points in Arizona, his largest lead on the question of who has based on past performance for the presidency. Can be trusted.
Trump is seen as a change agent in the poll overall, 45% to 42%, carrying five of the seven states on this question. His best performance: He has a +8 score over Harris in Nevada.
Trump scores higher than Harris when it comes to his vision for the future, 44% to 43%. On this, their score in Nevada is +10, the largest lead of any state in the sample on this question.
On who “cares about people like you,” Harris leads Trump by 6 points — but they’re basically tied on who “stands up for the American cause.”
By 6 points, more voters say Harris “cares about people like you” than Trump. The two are essentially tied when voters are asked who will stand up for American workers.
The margin of error is +/- 1.5 points for the full poll and 4 points for each state.
(TagstoTranslate)Politics(T)US News(T)2024 Presidential Election(T)Donald Trump(T)Kamala Harris(T)Polls(T)Swing States 2024
